2026年4月13日 (周一)
Crypto再次作为宏观风险资产进行交易:比特币滑落到低70K美元以下,因为霍尔木兹的升级将石油推高,风险食欲降低. 头条还表明,随着更多的贸易公司寻求保护透明铁路战略的途径,市场结构辩论(空间、地点选择)再次出现。
Crypto再次作为宏观风险资产进行交易:比特币滑落到低70K美元以下,因为霍尔木兹的升级将石油推高,风险食欲降低. 头条还表明,随着更多的贸易公司寻求保护透明铁路战略的途径,市场结构辩论(空间、地点选择)再次出现。
比特币跌落到71K以下,因为Hormuz升级会引发风险情绪
CoinDesk报导比特币在美国宣布将开始封锁霍尔木兹海峡后,
当密码交易像高β宏观时,占优势的驱动力成为流动性和相关性,而不是叙事. 交易商应该期待更快的缩编和回扣集会,并相应管理杠杆.
- 01 Geopolitical shocks can tighten liquidity and raise correlation across risk assets, pulling crypto into equity-like sell-offs.
- 02 Price breaks during macro stress often come with liquidation cascades, which can distort levels and invalidate clean technical signals.
- 03 If your thesis is long-term, the key variable is whether spot demand (ETFs, long-only buyers) absorbs forced selling.
If you use leverage, reduce it ahead of major macro weekends and set liquidation buffers. If you are spot-only, pre-plan buys in tranches at levels you can justify with time horizon, not momentum.
Bitcoin slips below $71,000 as Trump orders U.S. to join Iran in blockade of Strait of Hormuz
"Effective immediately, the United States Navy ... will begin the process of blockading any and all ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz," said the president in a social media post.
Bitcoin price falls under $71K as US-Iran war tensions spark sell-off
Saylor暗示另一家比特币收购,
comintelegraph报道迈克尔·赛勒(Michael Saylor)表示即将由战略公司购买比特币.
大型的重复购买者可以影响短期情绪和市场结构,但他们也会集中风险。 投资者应当将 " 支持性 " 公司购买与持续现货流入等更广泛的需求信号分开。
- 01 Corporate accumulation can provide headline support, but it does not eliminate drawdown risk when macro liquidity tightens.
- 02 Concentrated buyers can become forced sellers if financing costs rise or collateral values fall, which turns a tailwind into a tail risk.
- 03 The healthier signal is diversified spot demand (multiple channels), not a single buyer’s cadence.
Track demand breadth: watch whether multiple spot venues and products (including ETFs, if relevant to your market) show consistent net buying on down days. That matters more than any single corporate purchase tease.
市场制造者寻找不透明的铁路以保护战略
CoinDesk报告说,一些市场制造者正在将活动从完全公开的区块链转移,以避免披露交易策略。
这是一种市场结构的权衡:透明度提高了可核查性,但也能够促成对抗性复制和MEV型开发。 行业如何平衡隐私、公平和合规,将决定流动性集中的地方。
- 01 Full transparency can leak strategy and inventory signals, which discourages certain forms of professional market making.
- 02 Privacy layers can improve execution quality for sophisticated traders, but they may raise compliance and surveillance complexity.
- 03 Liquidity tends to follow venues that minimize adverse selection, even if they are less ‘pure’ from an ideology standpoint.
If you run execution, measure slippage and adverse selection by venue and time-of-day, and do not assume ‘on-chain’ automatically means best execution. Treat venue choice as a performance engineering problem.
菲德尔的Timmer:比特币可能正在形成一个大约65K美元的基础
CoinDesk总结了Fidelity的观点, 认为弱手可能已被冲出,
随着银行从贸易融资中退缩,初级商品交易商依赖稳定币
CoinDesk报告说,随着银行在伊朗相关的风险关切中退缩,稳定币被更多用于结算。
DeFi " 摇摆 " 作为治理和安全的压力测试
CoinDesk 的意见认为,最近的协议关闭突出了弱点,但也显示了DeFi的适应能力。